Atletico Torquevs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Torque 1-0 Cerro, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 3-1 Cerro
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 08:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 60.1% | 61.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.6% | 23.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.62 | 16.3% | 15.5% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40