Atletico Torquevs
Atenas
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 3-3 Atenas
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.5% | 53.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 24.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 16.8% | 21.7% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20