Atletico Paranaensevs
Fluminense
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico Paranaense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
15.5%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20