Atletico-MGvsVitoria

Atletico-MG are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.