Atletico-MGvs
RB Bragantino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/3/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico-MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico-MG 0-0 RB Bragantino, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico-MG 1-0 RB Bragantino
Original prediction
Atletico-MG
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 13:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.6% | 43.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.7% | 28.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.8% | 28.4% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
Atletico-MG 0–0 RB Bragantino
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Atletico-MG
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Atletico-MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico-MGDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoLDLLW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
44.4Attack40.7
60.5Defence61.7
49.4Form44.4
52.6Power50.5
1.10xG0.87