Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penuel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlet are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penuel
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20