Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlet are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lozova are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lozova hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Druha Liga, while Atlet holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlet
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Atlet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00