Atlanta United FCvs
Orlando City SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SC
Original prediction
Atlanta United FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.7% | 43.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.6% | 21.3% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.7% | 34.9% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta United FC
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Atlanta United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40