Atlanta United FCvs
Inter Miami
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United FC 1-3 Inter Miami
Original prediction
Inter Miami
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 28.3% | 22.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.7% | 18.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.0% | 58.8% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80