Atlanta United FCvs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlanta United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United FC 1-3 FC Cincinnati
Original prediction
Atlanta United FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 41.0% | 36.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 24.1% | 26.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.8% | 36.5% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Atlanta United FC
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Atlanta United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60