Atlanta United FCvs
Charlotte
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlanta United FC 0-2 Charlotte
Original prediction
Charlotte
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.8% | 27.8% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.8% | 21.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 36.4% | 50.5% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20