Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
Original prediction
Atalanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
76.3%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtalantaDWWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SassuoloWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AtalantaSassuolo
63.1Attack37.7
64.9Defence34.2
62.2Form26.3
63.1Power35.4
2.89xG0.67