Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atalanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Atalanta
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtalantaLLLWW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ParmaWLDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AtalantaParma
33.3Attack26.7
53.3Defence53.3
40.0Form26.7
45.3Power38.6
1.24xG0.92