Aston Villavs
Sunderland
SCHEDULEDEngland · Premier League · 11/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aston VillaWWWDW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SunderlandLWLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aston VillaSunderland
33.3Attack28.6
47.6Defence33.3
38.1Form19.0
42.3Power30.8
1.58xG0.96