Arzignano Valchiampovs
Dolomiti Bellunesi
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 9/2/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arzignano Valchiampo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arzignano Valchiampo 2-2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Original prediction
Arzignano Valchiampo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.4% | 39.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 28.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 31.3% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Arzignano Valchiampo
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Arzignano Valchiampo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60