Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Lyon W
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Lyon W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Arsenal WWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lyon WWWLWW
GF 23 · GA 6 · avg 4.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Arsenal WLyon W
100.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence63.6
66.7Form78.8
71.2Power76.3
1.48xG2.82