Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArsenalLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hull CityLDLDW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArsenalHull City
53.3Attack40.0
73.3Defence73.3
80.0Form53.3
69.6Power57.6
1.34xG0.91