Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal 3-0 Coventry
Original prediction
Arsenal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArsenalWDLWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CoventryWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArsenalCoventry
79.8Attack50.0
74.6Defence50.0
78.1Form50.0
75.7Power50.0
2.78xG0.70