GGOALVIO

Arsenal Tula logoArsenal TulavsUral logoUral

SCHEDULED

Russia · First League · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Arsenal Tula are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ural are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ural

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

14.2%

Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal TulaDDWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UralDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal TulaUral
33.3Attack55.6
40.0Defence88.9
46.7Form61.1
42.5Power67.2
0.76xG1.55
View match centre →