Arsenal Tulavs
Ural
SCHEDULEDRussia · First League · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Arsenal Tula are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ural are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20