Arsenal Tulavs
Ska-khabarovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Tula · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tula 2-2 Ska-khabarovsk
Original prediction
Arsenal Tula
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.0% | 51.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.2% | 24.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.8% | 23.9% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Tula
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Arsenal Tula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80