Arsenal Tulavs
KAMAZ
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal Tula · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arsenal Tula 4-3 KAMAZ
Original prediction
Arsenal Tula
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 47.3% | 38.5% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 26.2% | 27.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.6% | 33.9% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal Tula
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Arsenal Tula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20