Aroucavs
Moreirense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arouca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arouca 4-0 Moreirense
Original prediction
Arouca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Arouca
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Arouca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AroucaWWLDD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
MoreirenseDWDLD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AroucaMoreirense
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.63xG1.10