Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Arkadag 4-0 Merw, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Arkadag 7-0 Merw
Original prediction
Arkadag
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 August 2026 at 09:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Projected Score
Arkadag 4–0 Merw
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
94.2%
Model confidence
17.4%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArkadagWWWWW
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MerwWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArkadagMerw
100.0Attack33.3
84.4Defence8.9
95.6Form31.1
89.8Power27.0
4.50xG0.44