Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Arkadag 2-1 Ahal
Original prediction
Arkadag
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArkadagWWWWW
GF 24 · GA 2 · avg 4.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
AhalWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ArkadagAhal
100.0Attack60.0
84.4Defence77.8
95.6Form73.3
89.8Power69.8
1.59xG0.87