Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Arkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Şagadam are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
88.0%
Model confidence
17.0%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 2 · avg 4.80/0.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00