Aragvi Dushetivs
Telavi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aragvi Dusheti 0-0 Telavi, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aragvi Dusheti 1-4 Telavi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 31.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 31.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.1% | 36.5% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Aragvi Dusheti 0–0 Telavi
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aragvi DushetiWLLLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TelaviDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiTelavi
37.0Attack35.8
54.3Defence69.1
43.2Form53.1
47.7Power54.6
0.72xG0.92