Aragvi Dushetivs
Shturmi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aragvi Dusheti 0-0 Shturmi, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aragvi Dusheti 3-4 Shturmi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.9% | 31.1% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.3% | 34.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 33.8% | 34.1% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Projected Score
Aragvi Dusheti 0–0 Shturmi
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aragvi DushetiDDWWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ShturmiLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiShturmi
34.8Attack30.4
59.4Defence72.5
46.4Form47.8
49.6Power52.5
0.61xG0.68