Aragvi Dushetivs
Gareji
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gareji · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aragvi Dusheti 0-0 Gareji, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aragvi Dusheti 0-0 Gareji
Original prediction
Gareji
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.0% | 32.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 30.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.1% | 37.0% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Aragvi Dusheti 0–0 Gareji
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Gareji
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aragvi DushetiWLWLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GarejiWLLWL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiGareji
36.8Attack42.5
52.9Defence65.5
43.7Form60.9
47.3Power58.6
0.79xG1.14