Antofagastavs
Universidad de Chile
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad de Chile · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antofagasta 2-0 Universidad de Chile
Original prediction
Universidad de Chile
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.24 | 10.0% | 34.7% | 24.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.7% | 25.0% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 71.3% | 40.3% | -31.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Universidad de Chile
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60