Antofagastavs
Deportes Iquique
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/27/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Antofagasta 4-1 Deportes Iquique
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.0% | 45.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 26.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.8% | 28.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00