Annan Athleticvs
Alloa Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alloa Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Annan Athletic 0-0 Alloa Athletic
Original prediction
Alloa Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.5% | 33.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 25.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.8% | 40.7% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Alloa Athletic
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40