Angust Nazranvs
Spartak Nalchik
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Angust Nazran 0-0 Spartak Nalchik, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Angust Nazran 1-2 Spartak Nalchik
Original prediction
Spartak Nalchik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.48 | 26.1% | 22.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 31.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.5% | 45.8% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Angust Nazran 0–0 Spartak Nalchik
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Nalchik
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00