Angust Nazranvs
Pobeda
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pobeda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Angust Nazran 0-1 Pobeda, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Angust Nazran 1-0 Pobeda
Original prediction
Pobeda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.89 | 23.8% | 23.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.3% | 27.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.9% | 49.2% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Pobeda
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Pobeda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Angust NazranLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PobedaWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Angust NazranPobeda
14.5Attack66.7
60.9Defence55.1
23.2Form60.9
35.5Power60.1
0.68xG1.54