Angust Nazranvs
Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Angust Nazran 0-0 Astrakhan, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Angust Nazran 0-1 Astrakhan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.5% | 33.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.2% | 31.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.3% | 35.4% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Angust Nazran 0–0 Astrakhan
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Angust NazranLLLLD
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AstrakhanDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Angust NazranAstrakhan
15.2Attack39.1
60.6Defence49.3
24.2Form34.8
35.9Power42.1
0.81xG0.86