Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Andorra 0-0 Malta, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Andorra 1-2 Malta
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 26.4% | 35.2% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 34.2% | 31.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.4% | 33.0% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Andorra 0–0 Malta
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AndorraLWLDL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
MaltaWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AndorraMalta
0.0Attack11.1
66.7Defence61.1
8.3Form38.9
28.6Power40.5
1.00xG0.82