Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrela · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alverca 2-2 Estrela
Original prediction
Estrela
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Estrela
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
13.2%
Estrela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlvercaLWLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EstrelaDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlvercaEstrela
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
15.3Power45.3
1.33xG1.46