Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alverca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Alverca
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Alverca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlvercaWWLDL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Casa PiaWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlvercaCasa Pia
42.9Attack14.3
47.6Defence23.8
38.1Form19.0
45.1Power22.3
2.05xG0.86