Alianza Atleticovs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Atletico · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Atletico 3-1 Sporting Cristal
Original prediction
Alianza Atletico
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Alianza Atletico
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Alianza Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Alianza AtleticoDWLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CristalWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
40.9Attack56.1
59.1Defence48.5
42.4Form43.9
48.8Power50.6
1.35xG1.26