Alebrijes de Oaxacavs
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alebrijes de Oaxaca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50