Alebrijes de OaxacavsCorrecaminos Uat

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.