Alebrijes de OaxacavsCA La Paz

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.