Aldosivi Res.vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aldosivi Res. 0-1 Vélez Sársfield Res., with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldosivi Res. 0-1 Vélez Sársfield Res.
Original prediction
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.1% | 24.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.5% | 28.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.4% | 47.0% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Aldosivi Res. 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res.
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20