Aldosivi Res.vs
Tigre Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aldosivi Res. 0-0 Tigre Res., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldosivi Res. 1-0 Tigre Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.2% | 36.0% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.6% | 31.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.2% | 32.7% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Aldosivi Res. 0–0 Tigre Res.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aldosivi Res.LLLDD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tigre Res.WLLWD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aldosivi Res.Tigre Res.
29.9Attack34.5
51.7Defence49.4
29.9Form34.5
39.5Power41.9
0.96xG0.92