Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albion FC 1-3 Juventud
Original prediction
Albion FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.1% | 44.5% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 27.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.8% | 28.2% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Albion FCDLLWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudWDDLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Albion FCJuventud
42.9Attack38.1
58.3Defence54.8
40.5Form38.1
48.6Power45.9
1.25xG0.86