Albion FCvs
Defensor Sporting
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Albion FC 0-0 Defensor Sporting, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Albion FC 3-2 Defensor Sporting
Original prediction
Albion FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.5% | 39.1% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.7% | 30.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.8% | 30.2% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Albion FC 0–0 Defensor Sporting
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00