Albion FCvs
CA River Plate
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Albion FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albion FC 0-0 CA River Plate
Original prediction
Albion FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.7% | 36.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.6% | 28.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.7% | 34.6% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Albion FC
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Albion FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40