Albion FCvs
Atletico Torque
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Albion FC 2-1 Atletico Torque
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 28.1% | 28.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.8% | 25.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 44.1% | 45.2% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60