GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 8/31/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Shamal II · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Shamal II 0-2 Al Waab

Original prediction

Al Shamal II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7153.3%38.8%-14.5 pts
Draw3.7024.6%28.3%3.7 pts
Away4.1222.1%32.9%10.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Al Shamal II

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Al Shamal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Shamal IID

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Al WaabWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al Shamal IIAl Waab
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.08xG1.17
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