GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 9/6/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Markhiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Rayyan SC B 0-2 Al-Markhiya

Original prediction

Al-Markhiya

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home16.505.5%20.4%15.0 pts
Draw5.8015.6%23.3%7.7 pts
Away1.1578.9%56.3%-22.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–210%

Predicted outcome

Al-Markhiya

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Al-Markhiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Rayyan SC BLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/3.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Al-MarkhiyaWWLDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al Rayyan SC BAl-Markhiya
16.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
11.2Power100.0
1.04xG1.92
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