GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 8/30/2026, 2:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Mesaimeer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Al Mesaimeer are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UMM Salal are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Mesaimeer hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Second Division, while Al Mesaimeer holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Mesaimeer

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

8.7%

Al Mesaimeer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al MesaimeerWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
UMM SalalLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Al MesaimeerUMM Salal
71.8Attack50.0
38.5Defence50.0
53.8Form50.0
56.6Power50.0
2.33xG1.65
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