Al Mesaimeervs
UMM Salal
COMPLETEDQatar · Second Division · 8/30/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Mesaimeer · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Mesaimeer 1-2 UMM Salal
Original prediction
Al Mesaimeer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.7% | 40.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 28.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.9% | 30.8% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Al Mesaimeer
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Al Mesaimeer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00